QUOTE (Sugar Q @ May 11 2009, 11:37 AM)
Sal I dont know about 20 mill but I wouldn't be surprised. I guarantee you PBF will make more than Manny made for Hatton though. In the neighborhood of 17-18 mill. This fight is bigger than haters want it to be. Marquez is a great fighter. It's funny people say that Mayweather isn't a big draw but all will be watching this fight. I think it will be bigger than most people think.
As many times as these types of conversations have come up, I still haven't heard a conclusive answer as to exactly what percentage of the PPV the cable companies (HBO included with Comcast, Time Warner ect.) actually get.
According to someone here (Meth I think), Hatton-Floyd sold 1.2MM PPV in ENGLAND. That makes me think that Hatton is very clearly a bigger draw than Floyd and that the Pac-Hatton fight probably did some pretty huge numbers and that Pac was well paid.
I really just don't think Floyd-JMM does that big of business. Floyd's only big PPVs have been against superstars, and JMM ain't a superstar. We know Floyd-JMM ain't going to be doing $1.2MM PPVs in England and I seriously doubt it does more than 600k PPV buys here. Again, I have no idea of what the take of those PPVs are ($50 X 600K = $30MM). I would guess that the cable companies take half of that ($15MM), but I don't know. The gate won't be more than $4MM (20,000 X $200 per ticket = $4MM), and that estimate feels conservatively high as it doesn't include the facility fee.
So overall, my guess is that the fight will gross less than $20MM stateside. Maybe $10MM internationally is reasonable, but it sure doesn't feel reasonable. In any case, it's hard to imagine anyone GUARANTEEING $30MM to the fighters.