QUOTE (BoxingPain @ May 14 2009, 02:35 PM)

Basically what you're saying is if it's Pac's last fight (and it very well may be as he told some journalists yesterday that he plans to retire after a fight in October), Roach wants Mayweather. If not, they'd rather fight all these other fighters first before Mayweather.
Correct.
QUOTE (BoxingPain @ May 14 2009, 02:35 PM)

I still find that hard to believe because first, you never postpone the opportunity to make the biggest money and second, Roach believes that Pac is in his prime right now and Mayweather is coming off a long layoff and if there was a time to get May, the time is NOW.
Not necessarily. You don't rush into the biggest money fight if you think there's a chance you might lose and jeopardize other big money fights. For example, Oscar didn't rush into his big fight with Trinidad after he beat Chavez...instead, he fought Ike Quartey AND Oba Carr first before fighting Tito. Also, Mike Tyson didn't rush into a fight with Hoylfield when he got out of prison...instead, he fought McNeeley, Buster Mathis Jr., Frank Bruno and Bruce Seldon (and got PAID in the process) before taking on a much more difficult style in Evander Holyfield. In other words, sure, the Mayweather fight is big, but how much bigger is it than a Cotto fight? Are we talking $5 million more? $10 million more? $20 million more? If the Mayweather fight is only worth $20 million, but he can fight Cotto now and still get $15 million (which is likely since Cotto will take the short money while the best he could hope for against Mayweather is a 50/50 split), do you risk taking the more difficult fight for an extra $5 million? In my opinion, if I think my guy matches up better with Cotto because he'll come right at him, I'll pass on the more difficult fight and that extra $5 million to take the $15 million and get the win. The bigger money fight with Mayweather will still be there provided Mayweather doesn't lose to someone. And even Mayweather were to lose to someone, then that solidifies Manny's position as the true best P4P fighter (without even having to face the more difficult counter-punching style of Floyd) and hence, he'll always command the lion's share of any purse...no matter who he fights. If instead he take the $20 million and loses (and look bad doing it), then that other $15 million fight won't be there for him anymore. I mean, let's keep it real...it's not like Pacquiao hasn't been willing to walk away from big money fights before. He almost turned down fights with De La Hoya and Hatton.
QUOTE (BoxingPain @ May 14 2009, 02:35 PM)

If Pac fights Cotto and he loses, (a very real possibility) he can kiss his big payday with Mayweather goodbye since a loss to Cotto would mean losing one's bargaining power with May's camp as the big draw. The only one who gains the most from Pac-Cotto is Arum who promotes both boxers.
If Pac fights Cotto and loses, then he should be happy he didn't fight Mayweather. LOL. From now on, Pacquiao will always get big paydays provided he keeps winning. As for bargaining power, he's not going to have it against Mayweather regardless. Mayweather is HBO's fighter...period! Like I said, at this point, the only thing he can hope for is a 50/50 split with Mayweather. As long as Mayweather beats Marquez more decisively than Manny beat him, the undefeated fighter is going to be the guy who HBO rolls with. If Mayweather says he doesn't want to split the purse 50/50, the fight ain't happening...period! I do agree that Bob Arum (and HBO) gains the most from a Pac-Cotto fight as that's one less promoter to split the revenue with.
QUOTE (BoxingPain @ May 14 2009, 02:35 PM)

I think what Roach is doing by saying that they're not waiting for Mayweather is basically posturing to make it appear that they have options other than May. He didn't just say this recently to an ESPN writer, he said this already before right after the Hatton fight. This is just posturing to have an extra chip on the bargaining table. By letting May know they have options, they can say if you don't fight us, we'll fight with Cotto... we don't need you.
It's not just posturing...it's fact. They do have other options other than Mayweather. They could fight Cotto or Mosley and still make the same minimum of $12 million they just made against Hatton. Technically, they don't Mayweather...but on the flip side, Mayweather doesn't need them as he has the exact same options...probably even more since he could take on some guys at 154. I think a lot of people are under the assumption that Mayweather came back to fight Pacquiao and that's simply not the case. Mayweather came back to get paid...period! Whether he's getting paid against Marquez, Cotto, Mosley, Spinks or Pacquiao doesn't really matter to him. The fact that HBO was willing to shell out $15 million for Floyd to fight a guy that Pacquiao already beat twice says a lot. I guarantee you Manny Pacquiao didn't get paid $15 million for his rematch with Marquez. Look, Pacquiao's a great fighter and I love watching him fight, but the fact of the matter is that Mayweather is undefeated and everyone wants to be the first guy to beat him. Like you said in your first post, it was Roach who issued the challenge to Mayweather to come out of retirement...not the other way around. He's definitely not the most exciting fighter, but everyone wants to fight Floyd, including Manny, so that makes him the bigger fish to fry.
Oh...and for the record...I understand Roach was saying that they weren't going to wait on Floyd the day of and the day after the fight, but he also just said it last week on Brian Kenny's ESPN Radio Show. If I had a membership to ESPN Insider, I'd dig through the archives and provide you with the link, but trust me, he just said it and I'm sure anyone who watched last Friday's ESPN Friday Night Fights can co-sign on that since they plaid excerpts from the conversation on that show.