Eventhough I don't necessarily agree with his reasons (especially number one, I think they are pretty even here) I thought it would make for good discussion.
TOP 10 REASONS WHY COTTO BEATS PACQUIAO!
29 June, 2009 by Matthew R. Grizzle
Las Vegas, N- Over the past several months I have made two predictions regarding Manny Pacquiao (49-3-2, 37 KOs); one was that he would beat Oscar De La Hoya (39-6, 30 KOs) and the other was that he would take care of business with Ricky Hatton (45-2, 32 KOs). As Pacquiao looks toward his next bout in November against Miguel Cotto (34-1, 27 KOs), I will make another prediction; this one not in the favor of the beloved Pacman.
FILIPINO’S LUCK & RUN COMING TO END
Being a fan of both fighters isn’t an issue for me in making this pick. My feelings towards fighters rarely interfere with the objective nature of journalism. However, I will tell you this; Manny Pacquiao will lose to Miguel Cotto. This time, Manny and his team have simply bitten off more than they can chew. I am very, very happy to see Manny and his trainer Freddie Roach finally get their props, but I don’t think there is any game plan that they can come up with against Cotto that will have an end result in their favor.
BE HONEST, OSCAR WAS MORE SHOT THAN TUPAC!
When De La Hoya fought Steve Forbes (34-7, 10 KOs), I could tell he wasn’t who he once was, and when the Pac fight was signed I knew he wouldn’t be able to keep the little Filipino off of him. When Pac signed to face the overrated Ricky Hatton, I knew he would stop him as Hatton doesn’t even know how to spell defense, let alone show it in the ring. But with Cotto, it will be too much. Cotto isn’t just a big name, he isn’t just an icon in Puerto Rico, and he isn’t just a legitimate welterweight with legitimate boxing skills and solid power. He is however all of this and more, and on top of that, he won’t come charging in like a drunk Mancunian and at the set catch weight of 145 lbs, he won’t come in completely drained.
IT’LL BE COTTO’S NOVEMBER TO REMEMBER
Even if Cotto has lost a step since getting hit with bricks last year (Antonio Margarito), he still has more than enough left to take care of Pacquiao. He was able to deal with Shane Mosley’s (46-5, 39 KOs) blinding speed, and he will make the necessary adjustments to deal with Pac’s speed. If Cotto comes in injury free and doesn’t have difficulty making weight, this will be a vicious one sided affair in favor of the Puerto Rican. I love Manny Pacquiao not only for what he has done for the sport, but also for the generous, kind person that he is, but in this fight, I can’t see him having much of a shot.
TEN REASONS COTTO WILL BEAT PACQUIAO
10.) Speed- Even though this asset goes to Pacquiao, Cotto will know how use it in his benefit and counter; making it to his advantage; not the Pacman’s.
9.) Power- Pacman has tons of pop, but Cotto still has the advantage here, especially given his size advantage and body attack.
8.) Punch Selection- Cotto knows what to throw and when to throw it.
7. ) Size- No explanation needed here, Cotto is much bigger!
6.) Boxing Skills- As much as Manny has improved, he still isn’t as technically sound as the Puerto Rican.
5.) Defense- Cotto has very good and probably under rated defense. He will be able to parry Pac’s straight left hand with ease.
4.) Experience- Both men have significant ring experience, but I think Cotto’s will better suit him for this fight; mainly because of his fight against Shane Mosley.
3.) Respect- Cotto will show respect for Manny’s power instead of simply running in like an amateur a la Hatton.
2.) Will- Both men have great heart, grit and will, but Cotto has had to show it more often, and has no problem doing so.
AND THE #1 REASON WHY COTTO WILL BEAT PAC
1.) Ring IQ- Cotto simply understands the game slightly better; giving him the knowledge and know how to beat Pac.
Matthew R. Grizzle
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