QUOTE (ViperSniper @ Apr 12 2010, 07:36 AM)
‘Sugar’ Shane Mosley has the most chance of beating Mayweather than anyone who has faced him since he moved out of the lightweight divisions. He is the 1st legit Welterweight Floyd has faced who happens to be a pretty strong, powerful, quick, good chinned, and a determined one.
If Mosley can find some success early in the fight with a steady game plan he can at least stick with as long as Judah he has a real chance of winning. Unlike Judah, even if Mosley happens to get out of his game plan he will still be there the later half of the fight, still trying, unlike Judah.
Sounds stupid but Mosley may be best to really turn the heat up for round one only to set an example & possible discourage Mayweather early on. Create an illusion of a false game plan early which may leave Mayweather uncomfortable & guessing for the early part of the fight.
I think Mosley may be best trying to ‘box aggressively’ behind the jab & try to match the speed on the outside apposed to coming in firing like he did against Margarito as he would get eating alive by counters.
Mosley best chance is to try get in some body work early in hopes to slow an always conditioned Mayweather. Rough him up whenever he gets the chance to & bang him to the gloves, arms, elbows, chest, throat…anything just don’t go head hunting.
As for Mayweather I really don’t think it’s out of the question for him to get the stoppage over Mosley as many have implied, as everyone should know this is boxing! Yes it’s maybe the least likely scenario as Mosley has a great chin & Mayweather aint known as a ‘puncher’. But it’s the punches you don’t see coming that do the most damage and with Mayweather’s speed, timing & accuracy of course he is capable of getting the stoppage. Mosley’s chin is going to get a real work out in this fight!
The skills of Mayweather is the best thing Mosley has come across in his great long career. Having solid/great victories against tough fighters & brawlers recently, Luis Collazo is the closest thing he has fought in the last 5 years that resembles Mayweather in any way. Now that is only because like Mayweather, Collazo is also considered a ‘boxer’.
The way Mosley has fought lately is the exact way Mayweather like his opponents to fight & come at him. Mosley did not look the greatest against Mayorga, and Margarito has now been well over a year.
Mosley is not getting any younger as he approaches 40 in a few years with some pretty tough fights & punishment over the years. Mosley has also been put on the shelf for well over a year now. These are not ideal things you want to have to fight against in the biggest fight of your career as fighting against one of the most skilled fighters who does not know how to loose yet isn’t enough on your plate.
One of the biggest factors in this fight is the difference between both fighters is the state of mind & discipline they show inside the ring.
For such a nice, classy guy Mosley has always appeared to have some anger deep down who fights with a lot of emotion & determination. This is some of the reasons I feel many of us love Mosley & has made him such a great. Although at times when things have not gone his way those qualities have turned into frustration which worked against him against composed boxers which ended up biting him in the ass.
Mayweather is such a smart, calm boxer who rarely finds himself in any sort of harm in the ring (sometimes due to his unwillingness to open up) who is always composed in the ring. This will be enough for Mayweather to overcome the onslaught of Mosley & may even give back some of his own if he is forced to or feels is safe enough.
Shane’s combination of recent contrast of opponents, age, ring rust & ability to get frustrated will fall right into Mayweather’s youth, discipline, speed, reflexes, safety 1st mentality, defense, and accuracy. This may be the night that Mosley truly gets old over night with Mayweather not helping matters one single bit.
Shane Mosley is by no means a no-hoper as he will be there all night which is why this is such an interesting, good match-up. But as everything stated above it kills me to say Mayweather takes this by a hard worked clear decision with the cards possibly not reflecting the competitiveness & efforts of ‘Sugar’ Shane Mosley.
Nice post, Viper.
You put out all the conventional wisdom with respect to both men. I just have one question though. What if PBF has lost just a bit from his layoff?
I see a Castillo v PBF I scenario happening for SSM to pull off the upset. He has to attack the body, but in order to get there he needs to feign headhunting early in round one. When he goes to the body, he must be like a swarm of yellowjackets, stinging, kicking and tearing little chunks wherever he lands.
SSM must take the leather of PBF like Frazier did of Ali in the 1st fight. PBF will tweak up his activity and fire from awkward positions to keep SSM off. PBF's finely tuned machine will be damaged and the SSM's war Train will prevail with a stoppage somewhere after 8.