QUOTE (gbh32001 @ Nov 5 2011, 10:45 AM)
$1M question, with or without PED will FMJ fight Pacquiao? I don't think so. Floyd is a businessman, he will not fight a man whom he is uncertain of defeating him.
How in the hell he accepted JMM as a ligitimate contender?Because JMM called him out?Hatton?Floyd can fight at 154 and yet he is lurking at 126-147 for a prey.
I bet this little fella is Ivan calderon. And the latest news now is, the "Winner Takes All Challenge".
I believe this topic has been covered several times in the Manny Pacquiao - Floyd Mayweather Negotiations thread, but I'll give you a quick synopsis:
Long story short, Top Rank Promotions and Bob Arum have no desire to have their most marketable asset lose significant value while there is still so much potential to generate revenue. All you have to do is think about this strictly as a business.
The amount of revenue that is generated from in-house PPV events is so high that it presents a low risk - very high reward alternative to to the high risk - very high reward scenario that comes with a Floyd fight.
Top Rank does not do business with any other promotions. Pacquiao fought Cotto (in-house), Margarito (in-house), Mosley (broke his contract with Golden Boy) and Juan Manuel Marquez (one time Golden Boy, now Top Rank).
Co-promotion means that you split all revenue from the events, and Top Rank wants no part of filling the coffers of Golden Boy Promotions or Floyd Mayweather.
All you have to do is follow the money trail.
Mayweather by all accounts has accepted Pacquiao's demands: 8 oz. gloves, ring size, giving Pacquiao second entrance to the ring and a 50-50 split of revenues, even though Mayweather is by far the bigger PPV attraction, going by total buys and live gate revenue.
Before you bring up the fact that the De La Hoya fight skews those numbers, I will remind you that De La Hoya never even got close to the 2 MM buy mark with anyone else, let alone the 2.45 MM buy figure that achieved. Mayweather was equally responsible for the numbers that fight did. When Oscar fought Trinidad, and they were both unbeaten at the time, that fight generated 1.4 MM buys, to put things into perspective.
He also accepted a clause that would cause him to pay a $10 MM penalty per pound that he came in over the 147 lbs. welterweight limit.
Out of all of this, Mayweather has simply asked for Olympic style random blood and urine testing, administered by USADA. Arum and Pacquiao have balked at these suggestions and have broken off negotiations.
We hear different reasons, from fear of needles (this coming from a fighter who has multiple tattoos), possibly being weakened if a syringe of blood is taken on the day of the fight (medically impossible) and of course superstitions/religious barriers to giving blood so close to a contest. I don't know about Filipino cultural superstitions, but I'd be happy if someone could open up a Bible and find out where it says that one is to not give blood before engaging in combat.
Until all other revenue generators have been exhausted for Pacquiao (Bradley, Rios, possibly second fight against Cotto at 150), we will not see Top Rank actually be serious in negotiating with the Mayweather camp.
Arum lost his biggest revenue generator when Floyd Mayweather walked away from Top Rank and wanted to promote his own fights. He won't lose his next biggest attraction to the same guy who gave his business a hit in the first place. Not until he has done 2 things:
1) Financially squeezed every dollar out of Pacquiao's career from fights with others.
2) Secured successors to Pacquiao's place as Top Rank's most marketable asset.
When those 2 conditions have been met, the fight will be made.
Floyd believes he can beat Pacquiao, Vegas agrees with him and people who understand boxing understand why that's the case.
Floyd has fought guys who box, guys who swarm, guys who try to bully, both southpaw and orthodox. He's beaten them all and done so convincingly.
Pacquiao, while a brilliant offensive fighter, is limited from a technical standpoint. I can even tell you how he's going to get beaten: he'll keep throwing that flicking jab out there as a set up for his straight left hand, except it won't even get to that point.
Floyd will time that jab and come over it with the straight right hand and then move out of the way. When it gets close/inside, he'll open up with left hooks and continue moving out of the way. Boxing 101.
One last point. Floyd is barely a welterweight, given that he walks around at 150 lbs. and fights at 147 lbs. Sure, he can fight guys at 154 lbs., but he'll weigh in at least 4 - 5 pounds under the light middleweight limit.
Floyd coming off of a 2 year layoff, fighting the Number 2 rated Pound for Pound boxer in the world at the time, Juan Manuel Marquez was actually impressive. It's not like he was taking on some club fighter. He was fighting a guy who outboxed and had very close fights with the guy who people rated Number 1.
Ricky Hatton at the time of their fight, was undefeated and seen as a great match-up for Mayweather, given that he was a punishing body puncher. It made for a great event, because how often do you get to see 2 undefeated fighters put their records on the line ? Mayweather beat Hatton at his own game, punishing him inside and strafing him from distance.
At the end of the day, it's about the business aspect of boxing for BOTH Mayweather and Pacquiao. Do you think that Pacquiao has a problem with the fact that he's taking safe fights but earning $30 MM for each of them ?