QUOTE (Franchize @ Aug 27 2012, 11:26 AM)
Man I think Cshel swayed e. Im starting to think Chavez mightbeat Sergio. Either way, I always thought Sergio would win he early rounds fairly convincingly. I just think Julio is starting to become a tank at this weight and Sergio might shoot his load trying to throw the kitchen sink at the young champ. I don't knowman. I'm so amped. I'm just nervous because all of the fights I've been excited for this year got cancelled.
Lol, I hope I didn't, but honestly...I didn't want to be swayed by his performance in the Manfredo and Lee fights, but that shit surely happened. I can describe the feeling, as nothing more than that empty feeling that you get after losing a bet and forking over your money to some fucktard with the "I told you so" attitude. Lol
Dude has really shown improvement over the past 8-9 months, and as much as I didn't wanna give him credit, it's pretty much due at this point. Is he a world beater? Nope. Can he beat Sergio? More than likely, yes. To be honest, this can possibly be THAT fight where Sergio more than likely beats himself.
Look at Sergio, he's been hit by some not-so-quick punchers, as of late. Honestly, I feel like his 15 mins are up, if not in this fight, then at least in the next 1-2 fights. If Barker was able to eat him up with right hands while barely moving, then a stalking Julio is gonna hit him with something. Sergio DOES get hit more than usual, it's just like Pacquiao getting hit in fights, it's not always blatantly obvious until you go back and watch the fight.
Hell, Macklin hit Sergio with a few good shots, that was some odd shit. I haven't seen Sergio hurt lately, if ever, but he does make himself too damn available at times. He moves a lot, but shit, sometimes, I thinks it works against him. He's been fighting smaller MWs or at least guys his size, but fighting a guy who will more than likely tower over him and have the size (weight) to take his punches, is another thing to look at.
Remember how he fought in both Williams fights? He had to punch high and often because Paul threw a lot, but a MW WIillams' chin, along with those other guys that he fought in his size range, cannot be compared to Julio. Now, If Sergio just wants to go for the gold like he did in the Williams rematch, then he may have more success, if not a late KO. Maybe he can catch Chavez cold...he should exercise his options.
If Julio takes those punches (which Im sure he already knows that he HAS to take because he isn't that fast), then Sergio will HAVE to circle and box. Not sure how long he can do that over the course of 12 rounds, but Im almost sure he will fold and end up getting walked down. Why? His emotions will be in the way and cause him to do something that he doesn't have to do...kinda like the Khan/Garcia fight.
As we all know, Khan could've won that one fairly easily. Because he felt that he could hurt Danny, that millisecond too long during an exchange, caused him to take a punch that he didn't have to take, which ultimately caused him the fight. Sergio has made it abundantly clear that he wants to HURT Julio, which Im sure he can only do by staying close to him...result, less stalking for Julio, and more opportunities to land punches. As we all know, if you go into a fight looking for a KO, then there's always a possibility that you'll end up on the receiving end of what you were trying to dish out.
Oh yeah, if you look at how Julio's opponents shit their pants when he's walking them down and bobbing and weaving/swaying that big ass head of his, that almost always results in a guy getting cornered. This happens because he takes a few punches, or more than people expect, then SUDDENLY he starts using head movement...that's like guys getting used to Floyd only throwing 1 or 2 punches, and SUDDENLY, he starts throwing combinations. I haven't seen many guys walk straight to Sergio, except Margarito, and we ALL know that he feels like head movement is a crime. Lol