Good points guys!
I gave this one to Maidana by way of a close and controversial decision. Maidana can take a punch, and he's hella active nowadays during fights. Not only is he active, but he shows decent boxing skills, and not just walking into punches to wear the other guy down.
Lopez has just as much grit, but he doesn't take punches as well as Maidana. I like Lopez, but his pride gets the best of him, and he ends up exchanging with guys who have more power than him (Ortiz and Canelo). Sometimes he lands, and pretty much waits for the other guy to throw back...not good against the Maidanas of the world.
I just see Lopez landing a lot of body shots (which drift low from time to time), and getting a point deduction, which throws off the cards. He'll only get this point deduction because the ref will already be frustrated with Maidana for punching late, and a point will already be taken from him. Lol. I'm laughing, but I'm serious.
If Kenny Bayless caught that much hell trying to ref Maidana's last bout, then a piece of shit ref will be for a loooong night.

Again, I see the tide of this fight changing, along with point deductions, and sadly, I believe it goes the distance.