QUOTE (mrchitown @ Feb 4 2014, 08:17 PM)
Absolutely Miguel can win this fight he's no slouch I personally believe he's bitten off more then he can chew though. Bit this is boxing and this fight has the compelling drama that us hardcore fans and the casuals alike can appreciate
How will Maravilla look after such a long layoff and coming off a major injury? Can he keep Cotto off of him? Will he be able to withstand the brutal body attack of Miguel?
Can Cotto hurt Martinez? He's a small junior MW so he's going to be an infant at MW. How will Cotto fare in the late rds? It's a lot of questions on both sides that makes this an exciting fight, one in which I hope to be in attendance for...but i personally don't think he'll be able to best Maravilla because Martinez hits hard too, is quicker, has better reflexes and defense and he can counter a bit too
Miguel has those hooks and a solid jab but he's going to have to tighten up defensively. He's not exactly a master of beating south paws and Roach immediately made him look more vulnerable in the fight against Delvin. Go look at the 1sr rd,.Miguel didn't skip in defense after they he started out that way. He came out in the first Rd looking like he was ready to rumble and no care about defense. Roach isn't a defensive coach, he's not even a decent teacher of defense. If Cotto does that against Martinez it's lights out
cotto is experienced, i dont think he will figtht like he did against delvin when hes going up to fight the best middleweight in the world. unless thats his legit gameplan to jsut come out swinging. I doubt that though because hes always been a smart, composed and patient pressure fighter. if he gets cracked being reckless, he will definitely make an adjustment and back off, hes not adrien broner.
sergio martinez is more or less the same size as margarito, just a bit more muscular. But even then, trout probably re-hydrated to what martinez does on fight night. This type of fight, in my opinion, wont matter about size or strength, just speed, reach, and footwork. cotto is a master of footwork though, maybe not in the way you normally think of footwork, but cotto uses his feet well, he always measures guys with his feet very well and establishes the correct distance at which he can work. Thats why he always gets his shots in, even if he dont win the fight. He uses his feet to add rythym to his offense, he can be odd to find at times because of the way he moves, doing that hippity hoppity shit.
However, cotto has always been very susceptible to feints, and i could see sergio countering him well using feints to throw him off as he comes in. I dont think miguel can hurt sergio, but i think he could wear him down if cotto comes in shape and gets his body work in. I think he might gas in the later rounds. that is where martinez, a former cyclist with an infinite gas tank, could really punish cotto and take over the fight if it ends up being close. both have been on long layoffs with 1 fight in between, and both have looked vulnerable and beatable in recent outings. i think both of these guys are ripe for the pickings, its hard to call this one bcause we just cannot know for sure which version of both guys will show up!
martinez's ace n this fight with cotto is his versatility, he can come forward or box on the move, he can fight toe to toe, he can punch, box, and is very dangerous in exchanges because of his unorthodox style and his weird angles. I think martinez ill win the fight, but i think cotto def takes a small peice of his soul in the process. I ouldnt mind seeing cotto fight adrade after this fight to snag that wbo 154 title, and if he dont win that fight, he should retire. hope cotto puts up a great fight for us, but ultimately martinez wins the fight by decision, that way cotto gets his dignity, and we wont have to see cotto get slaughtered by ggg. Id much rather fancy martinez in their with ggg, theyre styles are perfect for each other.